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CZGB Auction Preview: Lower CPI pushed yields down despite fiscal easing prospects

07/10/2025 15:29

Issuance activity: Tomorrow, MinFin is scheduled to auction CZK4.0bn of 2034 bonds, CZK5.0bn of 2035 bonds and CZK1.0bn of 2038 floaters. As expected, the ANO party won the general election by a decisive margin, securing 34.5% of votes and 80 out of 200 seats in the lower chamber of the Czech parliament. ANO leader Andrej Babis is likely to become the new PM, leading either a minority government with support from the far-right SPD (15 seats) and the eurosceptic, right-wing Motorist Party (13 seats) or in direct coalition with these subjects. As for the 2026 budget, the outgoing government’s proposal of a CZK286.0bn deficit (vs. CZK241bn in 2025) is likely to be revised. At a press conference today Andrej Babis said that the current government’s 2026 budget, is missing around CZK60bn to cover transportation infrastructure investments, among other things. We estimate that increasing the deficit to CZK346bn would result in a public finance deficit increase to approximately 3% of GDP.

Autor: Jaromír Gec
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